Last week, Jumbo published his 2012 MLB Preview and Award Predictions, you can check them out here and here. They were nice and all, but now I’m going to tell you what is ACTUALLY going to happen during the 2012 Major League Baseball season.
- Tampa Bay Rays – The Rays pitching remains strong, and the offense overachieves as the Rays win the East.
- Toronto Blue Jays – The Blue Jays surprise by finishing second and securing a WC spot thanks to surprising pitching and bounce-back seasons from Travis Snider and Colby Rasmus.
- New York Yankees – The Yankees aging bats can’t stay healthy and the Yankees miss the playoffs despite winning 90 games.
- Boston Red Sox – The Red Sox have fallen on hard times as both the Sox and Yanks miss the playoffs for the first time since 1993.
- Baltimore Orioles – The Orioles lose 100+ games thanks to the worst starting staff in baseball.
- Detroit Tigers – The Tigers addition of Prince Fielder puts them over the top as they win the Central by 10 games.
- Minnesota Twins – The Twins look sharp early, but fade by mid-August.
- Cleveland Indians – Ubaldo Jiminez is disgruntled by May and the Indians struggle to replace his production.
- Chicago White Sox – The White Sox are officially rebuilding, but some of the young guys show promise.
- Kansas City Royals – The Royals are the Royals, once again.
- Los Angeles Angels – The addition of Pujols and Wilson is just enough for the Angels to reclaim the AL West crown.
- Texas Rangers – The Rangers don’t make it easy as they take the division race to the season’s final weekend.
- Oakland Athletics – The A’s pitching is strong, but they don’t put up enough runs to get them any higher than 3rd place. Josh Reddick is the lone bright spot in the lineup.
- Seattle Mariners – Seattle is on their way up, but the young bats struggle and Felix Hernandez starts to wonder why he signed that big deal.
American League Playoffs: Wild -Card Game: Rangers over Blue Jays, ALDS: Tigers over Rangers, Angels over Rays, ALCS: Tigers over Angels
AL MVP: Jose Bautista
AL CY: Jared Weaver
AL ROY: Yoenis Cespedes
AL MOY: John Farrell
- Philadelphia Phillies – Halladay, Lee, Hamels, Need I say more?
- Atlanta Braves – The Braves will not collapse down the stretch this year and Chipper Jones will get one more chance at October.
- Washington Nationals – Bryce Harper impresses, but the Nationals are not playoff material, yet.
- Miami Marlins – The new stadium is nice, but the Marlins should spent money in all the wrong places.
- New York Mets – The Mets are just plain bad.
- St. Louis Cardinals – The Cardinals lost Pujols, but they replaced him with Carlos Beltran, who actually had a higher OBP (.385 vs. .366) and OPS (.910 vs. .906) than Pujols did. Add in getting Wainwright back and Fielder in the AL, and the Cardinals will be hard to beat.
- Milwaukee Brewers – The Brewers still have a strong team, but without Fielder, they’re relegated to 2nd place.
- Cincinnati Reds – The Reds pitching will be improved and Matt Latos looks worth every bit what they gave up, but they are destined for third place.
- Houston Astros – The young players surprise and the Astros play semi-competitive baseball, if you call 4th place in the NL Central semi-competitive.
- Pittsburgh Pirates – Remember when the Pirates were the worst team in the majors? Well, now they are only 6th or 7th worst.
- Chicago Cubs – Welcome to Chicago, Theo!! Good Luck!
- Arizona Diamondbacks – Ian Kennedy leads a strong staff, and an improved offense allows Arizona to repeat.
- San Francisco Giants – The trio of Lincecum, Cain, and Bumgarner keep the Giants in the race, but without some lineup upgrades, the Giants are going to lose just enough 2-1 games to finish second.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Kershaw and Kemp are nice cornerstones, but you need more to win a competitive NL West.
- Colorado Rockies – The bats of Tulowitzki and Gonzalez are just enough to keep the Rockies out of last place.
- San Diego Padres – Weak pitching and a punchless lineup is not a formula for success. Cory Luebke has a solid year though to become the staff ace heading into 2013.
National League Playoffs: Wild-Card Game: Giants over Braves, NLDS: Phillies over Giants, Cardinals over Diamondbacks, NLCS: Phillies over Cardinals
NL MVP: Troy Tulowitzki
NL CY: Roy Halladay
NL ROY: Drew Pomeranz
NL MOY: Kirk Gibson
World Series Winner: Tigers over Phillies in six.
Here is where I agree with Jumbo. How he can get so much else wrong, but nail the World Series champion will always be a mystery to me.
We’ll come back in September and review these predictions and see who was closer to the truth, me or Jumbo. Now, I say Play Ball!!