TSD College Football Primer: Week 11

A 2-4 week hurt, but I wasn’t betting with a clear head after having my wife go into early labor and The Captain coming in early, but I’m back and ready for a late season run.  I see the top 4 being unbeaten after this weekend and the BCS picture looking as muddled as it is today.

Last Week:  2-4 (41-48-1, 46%)

Thursday 11/08/12

#10 Florida State (-13.5) at Virginia Tech 7:30pm ESPN

The preseason ACC game of the year has lost some of its luster with Tech just fighting to get to a bowl instead of an ACC title, but it should be pretty good.  FSU is coming off a bye and looks to be rolling.  Tech is 4-5 with all 4 wins coming at home, so they will put up a fight in Lane.  I look for FSU’s turnover problems (6 fumbles in 2 previous games) to help VT keep this game closer than the 2 TD spread, but for FSU to get a hard victory.

Saturday 11/10/12

#24 Northwestern at Michigan (-10.5) 12pm ESPN

The loser of this game falls out of the running for the Legends Division and has no shot at the Rose Bowl.  Northwestern and Kain Colter have been a nice story, but the Michigan D will leave no doubt who the best team on the field is.  Michigan wins by more than 2 TDs.

Louisville (-3) at Syracuse 12pm ABC

Upset Special:  Why?  I am not really sure.  At 9-0, the Cardinals are in the top 10, but have not done it pretty.  They have been scrambling all season and I think a road game in the Carrier Dome is a prime spot for an upset.  Look for Cuse to control the tempo with their run game and to score the upset.

#11 Oregon State at #14 Stanford (-4) 3pm FOX

This is the PAC12 game that will most likely resemble a SEC game in the fact that 2 tough defenses will battle it out against depleted offenses.  These teams are evenly matched and I will give the edge to the Cardinals for their tougher schedule and being at home.

#15 Texas A&M at #1 Alabama (-13.5) 3:30pm CBS

Texas A&M averages nearly 45 points per game and the Tide are giving up only 9 point per, so something has to give.  People are talking like this may be an Alabama/Oregon preview, but I don’t see it.  Bama’s offense is as legit as their defense and they will roll the Aggies big.

#21 Mississipi State at #7 LSU (-14.5) 7pm ESPN

Still stinging from the last second loss to Bama will have the Tigers motivated, but I don’t see enough offensive firepower to bust that spread.  LSU will win, but they will leave the score closer to 24-14 instead of 28-10.

#2 Kansas State (-7.5) at TCU 7pm FOX

This may likely be the Wildcats last big test before they put their fate in the BCS’s hands.  TCU has played well and the crowd will be rocking in Texas on Saturday night.  If Collin Klein plays this game is a 20 point K-State victory, but if Klein is unable to play this game gets wild.  K-State would have to go with freshman Daniel Sams at QB.  I think Klein plays and the Wildcats roll to 10-0 with a big road win.

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