Handicapping 2013 Week 1

Welcome to the 2013 NFL season. After going 46-34 (.575) last year, we’re going to go with a bit of a different format this year.  Last year I made sure to pick 5 games every week and sometimes the last one or two were a bit of a stretch, so in an effort to increase that winning percentage I’m only going to play the games that I feel really good about.

Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter (@cfd356) to get the Monday Night picks.

Alright, here go, lets lift that lid on the 2013 season.

Tampa Bay -3 vs. New York Jets

Revis will look to cover his old team in week 1.

Revis will look to cover his old team in week 1.

How it could go right:

One of Tampa Bay’s weaknesses last year was the back end of their defense, but they addressed that area strongly by trading for Darrelle Revis, signing Dashon Goldson, and drafting Johnthan Banks. With all of them plus Mark Barron the Bucs have the makings of one of the stronger secondary units in the NFL.

Couple that with a rookie starting for the Jets (Geno Smith), an injured running back (Chris Ivory), and an injured wide receiver (Santonio Holmes)  and you have the makings for a rough week 1 for the Jets offense.

How it could go wrong: 

Smith will look to cement the starting QB spot with the NY Jets.

Smith looks to cement the starting QB spot with the NY Jets.

The Tampa secondary takes some time to gel as a unit, while Geno comes out and shows us something he didn’t show at all in the preseason. Josh Freeman continues to regress and Cromartie with Millner shut down the Tampa passing offense allowing the front seven to key on Doug Martin keeping the game a slug fest.

Seattle Seahawks -3 vs. Carolina Panthers

How it could go right: 

Wilson looks to evade the 'sophomore slump'

Wilson will try to evade the ‘sophomore slump’

The Seahawks are loaded with talent on both sides of the ball and all of their playmakers come to play.  Russell Wilson continues his exponential growth as an NFL quarterback and the receiver corp of Golden Tate and Rice can make some plays.

Cam Newton has to shoulder the load for the offense as the only weapon in Carolina, the age-less Steve Smith, has trouble getting open against one of the most physical secondaries in the NFL while DeAngelo Williams continues to regress (2.4 preseason ypc).

How it could go wrong: 

My Defensive Player of the Year Pick

My Defensive Player of the Year Pick

The rookie DTs for the Panthers combined with Luke Kuechly cause havoc in the Seahawk backfield and at the line of scrimmage while Kenjon Barner takes a kick to the house. Russell Wilson is bitten by the ‘sophomore slump’.

We’ll see you back here next week for the week 1 recap and the week 2 picks.

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